A Model for the Management of a Family Planning System
A Model for the Management of a Family Planning System
Glen L Urban
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This section will present some of the results of analyzing the Atlanta client record data. A client record Includes among other data: (1) patient ID number, (2) clinic code, (3) method selected, (4) date of visit, (5) date of next appointment, (6) date of last pregnancy termination, and (7) indi- cation of referral action, if taken. In processing client record data, a time period must be specified over which the parameters are assumed to be stationary. In the Atlanta analysis, a sixteen month p...eriod was used since non-stationarity was expected over a longer period. At the end of this period three possible states exist for people: (1) Prospective - next appointment date has not yet arrived. (2) Delinquent - less than two months late for appointment. (3) Inactive- more than two months late for appointment. 27. These end effects are critical in the estimation of continuance rates. The continuation rate in the model is the percent of people who return for their next visit (PCOMC see equation 14) .
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