An Economic View of the Market for Corporate Control
An Economic View of the Market for Corporate Control
Richard S Ruback
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The stock prices of unsuccessful merger targets seem to revert to their pre-offer level by the time failure of the offer becomes known. The stock prices of unsuccessful tender offer targets exhibit a different pattern. The stock prices of unsuccessful targets rise in -11- response to the announcement and remain substantially above their pre-offer level after the failure of the offer is announced. However, Bradley, Desai, and Kim (1983) report that the stock prices of unsuccessful target firms t...hat do not receive subsequent takeover offers in the next two years revert to their pre-offer level. In contrast, the targets that receive subsequent offers realize a further increase of about 28% in their stock price. This evidence suggests that the stock prices of unsuccessful tender offer targets remain above their pre-offer level in anticipation of a future takeover bid, and that an eventual takeover is required to realize the stock price increases associated with the announcement of a tender offer.
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