Cost Analysis in Child Welfare Services

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It may not apply elsewhere or even in the present setting at a future date. Therefore it is not a desirable component in prediction and has been excluded.
Finally, an exclusion was made to prevent effort that would be unrewarding. Since it was found that "problem of the child" merely duplicated the cost relationship demonstrated by the highest char acteristic in the index, "problem of the child and family," the former characteristic was elimmated from the base for prediction.
When characteristi
...cs to be included in a forecast base have been selected, the next step is to devise methods for using them, singly or in combination.
The three procedm-es chosen for testing in this study were : 1. Using the single characteristic with the highest index value, (designated as procedure I) 2. Using logical combinations of sub-classes of the three highest index characteristics, (procedure II) 3. Developing a score based on a relatively large number of characteristics. In this in- stance seven were selected, (procedure III) Procedure I: The Use of a Single Char- acteristic to Forecast Cost of a Subunit of Service The main value of this procedure is its relative simplicity.


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