Interest Rates Wages Employment And Inflation Hearing Before the Committee

Cover Interest Rates Wages Employment And Inflation Hearing Before the Committee
Interest Rates Wages Employment And Inflation Hearing Before the Committee
United States Congress House Committee On the B
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You are quoted as saying in this book, long-term rates are not a matter of theory. Long-term rates are a matter of people making investments and anticipating where they think the econ- omy is going to go.
Long-term rates have risen because of people's lack of confidence in stable prices and a decent return on the investments they make at a point in time today as opposed to the future. I mean, if long- term rates are not a function of any artificial determination like to some degree yours is, lo
...ng-term rates are people betting on their investments for the future, correct?
Mr. Greenspan. There are two elements involved. As best we can judge, the rise in long-term rates has been partially an expec- tation of the increased inflation and partly an expectation of real rate increases.
The problem we have, as I indicated before, of separating the two is the fact we do not have adequate data. But what rough indica- tions we do have on the basis of forecasts of people's long-term in- flation expectations is it appears it is part of both.


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