Mortality Laws And Statistics

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Suppose, therefore, that we have the results of two censuses taken at the times h and t 2 counting from the beginning of the period and that the corresponding total populations are P3 and P 4 , also that the populations in the age group are APz and BP 4 .
Then, according to the assumptions already made, we have P 3 =r l 'P or log J P 3 = log J P +^ilogr, Pi=r t2 Po or log.P4=logPo + Mogr, (h-h) \ogr = \ogPi-\ogPz, logr = (logP4-logP 3 )/(fe-/i), ■ . . . ( S ) log P = log P 3 - h log r = (t 2 lo
...g P 3 -h log Pi)f(k-h). (6) a+bh=A, a + bh=B, b(t 2 ~h) = (B-A), b = (B-A)/(h-ti), (7) a=A~bh = (t 2 A-t 1 B)/(h-h) (8) 97. The expression for the average population in the age group, when we substitute in Eq. (4) these values of a and b, takes the form CONSTRUCTION OF MORTALITY TABLES 55 p r-i \ hA~hB B-A l r i_ °log e r[ h~-h h-h\r-i log e r = Po r—i\faA A A ir 1 fa — h \r — i \og e r{fa — h fa — h\r—i log„r hB B I r fa — h fa~h\r—i log,, r -APj~ X \ h XogtrXfa — h fa-h\r—i loge r j I Bp r-i f i / r i \ h | , -v Since ^4P r (1 and BP r'° are the numbers shown in the two censuses for the age group in question, it follows that we obtain the average population for any age group by multi- plying the numbers shown in the two censuses by log, r [fa-h fa-h\r-i \og e r and -h r ~ x I T I r 1 \ h \og e r\fa-h\r-i log e r/ fa- respectively, and adding together the products.

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