On the Volatility of Stock Market Prices

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On the Volatility of Stock Market Prices
Rajnish Mehra
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IngersoU and Ross (1985), Lucas (1988), Kydland and Prescott (1982) and Merton (1971).
This paradigm has several advantages: The partial equilibrium micro studies cited earlier ignore the interaction of consumption growth and interest rates, implicitly assuming their in- dependence. In contrast, the neoclassical growth model explicitly captures their interaction. Secondly, examining aggregate values relative to National Income is natural in this theoret- ical setting since detrending is not a p
...roblem as these series appear to be co-integrated.
The principal results of our study cover the U. S. Economy for the post War years 1946- 1987. During this period we observe that the value of equity in the U. S. As a ratio of National Income has moved by a factor of about three, from a low of 0. 48 of National Income in 1948 to a high of 1. 33 of National Income in 196S. Dropping down to 0. 53 of National Income in 1974. Furthermore, there is a fair amount of persistence in the plo. T of the ratio of market value of equity to National Income vs.


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