Optimal Long Term Investment When Price Depends On Output

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Optimal Long Term Investment When Price Depends On Output
Carliss Y Carliss Young Baldwin
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For such problems, it is well known that the optimal decision rule takes the form "accept (the next opportunity) if its reward exceeds z " where the value of z is the outcome of optimization. In the investment decision problem, rewards take the form of value added to shareholder wealth by the acceptance of an opportunity. The standard NPV criterion is then a special case of the general rule for which the hurdle criterion z is zero.
Note that the NPV formula (see Eqs. 5 and 6) permits the hurdle
... criterion to be expressed in three equivalent ways. These are: (1) Accept (an opportunity) if NPV > z (2) Accept if p(Q) -c > y (Net profit criterion) (3) Accept if c

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