Progress Report On Geostrophic Vortex Motion Ii Application to Hurricane Track

Cover Progress Report On Geostrophic Vortex Motion Ii Application to Hurricane Track
Progress Report On Geostrophic Vortex Motion Ii Application to Hurricane Track
G K Morikawa
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Although the 2l|. Hour position was in our opinion well-predicted consider- ing the possible inaccuracies of initial and boundary data, the intermediate hourly time-steps show that the calculated motion took a large "jump" in the first time-step and the motion there- 8 after was extremely slow. It is not clear at present whether this behavior is due to improper initial or boundary data or both and future tests are being set up to determine the causes. We are more inclined to place the blame on ...improper initial data. Hence the following smoothing procedure is now being introduced into the code: 1) Prom the initial data which we call \Jr, we calculate the distribution F(x, y) = (A, -iv H a ^ each grid point.
2) Using this F(x, y) we solve for the smoothed initial data which we call i|/ by integration, (/\, - K. H = P» We expect this smoothing procedure to eliminate the abrupt jump in the nu- merical solution. Also time-dependent boundary data will be used henceforth.
An indication of the rather tentative nature of our test runs to date is illustrated by our uncertainty concerning a good estimate of the parameter K.


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