School Law Bulletin [serial] 9, 3 (July 1978)

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Source: Same as Tables 1 and 2.
Projections vary for different school units, of course, largely because of differences in migration.
As stated in the July 1977 Bulletin, the explanation for the projected declines in school enrollments lies in the declines in number of births in the late 1950s and early 1960s and the sharp drop in births during the 1970s. From 1970 to 1976, the number of live births in North Carolina dropped from 98,455 to 80,674, or 18. 1 per cent. Because women born during the
... height of the baby boom are now in the prime child-bearing years (20-29), we have expected an increase in the number of births during the late 1970s. Statistics for 1977 indicate that this increase has begun to occur — live births increased by 5.0 per cent, from 80,674 in 1976 to 84,681 in 1977. This increase will begin to show up in kindergarten enrollments in 1982. The increase in births may not last very long, however, because, as explained earlier, the number of women entering the prime child-bearing years should decline after 1978.

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