The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition
The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition
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In our eReader you can find the full English version of the book. Read The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition Online - link to read the book on full screen. Our eReader also allows you to upload and read Pdf, Txt, ePub and fb2 books. In the Mini eReder on the page below you can quickly view all pages of the book - Read Book The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition
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(10) t=i One consequence of assumption (a) of section 3 is that the estimates of the various probabiUties are unbiased. If this is the case, then the expected value of the decomposition estimate, given in equation 10, should be equal to the ex- pected value of the direct assessment, which, from equation 6, is or*. If there are systematic sources of error in either assessment process, then the two expected values would not normally be equal.
The error variance of the decomposition estimate is de...noted by Var(a) = c^. Using equation 4, this variance can be written as a linear combination of three components: a^ = Var|^c. 6A+Var|cJl-^'6y + 2Cov[^c«6„c„[l-^6j I j. (11) In the appendix, this expression is shown to be equivalent to: +yc^?^+^nV
What to read after The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition?
You can find similar books in the "Read Also" column, or choose other free books by H V Handanhal V Ravinder to read onlineMoreLess
To quickly assess the difficulty of the text, read a short excerpt:
(10) t=i One consequence of assumption (a) of section 3 is that the estimates of the various probabiUties are unbiased. If this is the case, then the expected value of the decomposition estimate, given in equation 10, should be equal to the ex- pected value of the direct assessment, which, from equation 6, is or*. If there are systematic sources of error in either assessment process, then the two expected values would not normally be equal.
The error variance of the decomposition estimate is de...noted by Var(a) = c^. Using equation 4, this variance can be written as a linear combination of three components: a^ = Var|^c. 6A+Var|cJl-^'6y + 2Cov[^c«6„c„[l-^6j I j. (11) In the appendix, this expression is shown to be equivalent to: +yc^?^+^nV
What to read after The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities Obtained Through Decomposition?
You can find similar books in the "Read Also" column, or choose other free books by H V Handanhal V Ravinder to read onlineMoreLess
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