Unemployment Unsatisfied Demand for Labor And Compensation Growth in the Unite
Unemployment Unsatisfied Demand for Labor And Compensation Growth in the Unite
James L Medoff
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The curve linking percentage change in average hourly compensation to the official unemployment rate appears to have shifted outward first in 1970 and then again in 1974; a smaller backward shift seems to have occurred after 1976. As demonstrated in Figure IB, the relationship between the rate of growth in compensation and the prime age male unemployment rate has exhibited a similar shift pattern. Sharp outward shifts in 1970 and 1974 appear to have been followed by a smaller backward shift aft...er 1976. The question we are interested in answering is whether the observed shifts in both the official unemployment rate and prime age male unemployment rate Phillips relationships are somehow related to changes in the relationship between unemployment and unsatisfied demand. There is at least good circumstantial evidence which suggests that this question should be answered in the affirmative. Plots of the Shifting Relationship Between Unemployment and Unsatisfied Demand Figure 2 presents plots relating each of our two unsatisfied demand prnxli'H Tor the United Stntes, the normalized help wnntt-d Indi-x mid the iiDintir.
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