Worldwide Effects of Nuclear War: Some Perspectives

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Our knowledge of nuclear warfare rests largely on theory and hypothesis, fortunately untested by the usual processes of trial and error; theparamount goal of statesmanship is that we should never learn from theexperience of nuclear war.
The uncertainties that remain are of such magnitude that of themselves theymust serve as a further deterrent to the use of nuclear weapons. At thesame time, knowledge, even fragmentary knowledge, of the broader effects ofnuclear weapons underlines the extreme di
...fficulty that strategic plannersof any nation would face in attempting to predict the results of a nuclearwar. Uncertainty is one of the major conclusions in our studies, as thehaphazard and unpredicted derivation of many of our discoveries emphasizes. Moreover, it now appears that a massive attack with many large-scalenuclear detonations could cause such widespread and long-lastingenvironmental damage that the aggressor country might suffer seriousphysiological, economic, and environmental effects even without a nuclearresponse by the country attacked.

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